Padres vs. Braves odds, line, prediction: 2022 MLB picks, April 16 best bets from proven computer model

Atlanta bounced back from a rough stretch that featured four losses in five games when it picked up a 5-2 win over San Diego on Friday night. The Braves will try to add to that victory when they face the Padres in the third game of a four-game series on Saturday afternoon. San Diego opened the series with a bang, exploding for 12 runs in a 12-1 final on Thursday. Ian Anderson (0-1, 16.68 ERA) will look to rebound from a shaky first start for Atlanta, while Nick Martinez (0-0, 1.80 ERA will be on the hill for San Diego. 

First pitch is set for 4:05 p.m. ET from Petco Park in San Diego. San Diego is the slight -115 favorite (risk $115 to win $100) in the latest Braves vs. Padres odds from Caesars Sportsbook, with the over-under set at 8.5 runs. Before making any Braves vs. Padres picks, you need to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, enters Week 2 of the 2022 season on a 216-181 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks that dates back to last season, returning over $900 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in on Padres vs. Braves, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are the MLB odds and trends for Braves vs. Padres:

  • Padres vs. Braves money line: Atlanta -105, San Diego -115
  • Padres vs. Braves run-line: Atlanta -1.5 (+150)
  • Padres vs. Braves over-under: 8.5 runs 
  • SD: Padres are 6-3 ATS this season
  • ATL: Braves are 2-7 ATS this season

Featured Game | San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves

Why you should back the Padres

San Diego is settling into its first home series of the season after playing its first seven games on the road. The Padres came out hot on Thursday, scoring 12 runs in their win over Atlanta. They cooled off against Kyle Wright on Friday, but they should be primed for a bounce-back performance on Saturday. 

Martinez was outstanding in his season debut, firing five innings of one-run baseball. He is facing an Atlanta offense that has been held to three runs or fewer on six occasions. The Padres have covered the run line in six of their nine games this season, so they are an excellent betting option on Saturday afternoon. 

Why you should back the Braves

San Diego had an excellent day at the plate on Thursday, but it has been feast or famine for its offense so far this season. The Padres have now lost three of their last four games, scoring a combined five runs in the three losses. They are facing one of Atlanta’s best pitchers on Saturday afternoon, as Anderson is coming off a fantastic rookie season.

The Braves no longer have Freddie Freeman in the lineup, but they still have one of the best offenses in baseball. Left fielder Marcell Ozuna has returned from his suspension to pick up 12 hits in his first 36 at-bats, while first baseman Matt Olson is batting .367 in place of Freeman. San Diego is not getting enough production outside of Manny Machado and Eric Hosmer, giving Atlanta some edges on Saturday afternoon. 

How to make Braves vs. Padres picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the run total, as the simulation suggests the teams will combine for 8.9 runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s pick at SportsLine

So who wins Padres vs. Braves? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side to jump on, all from the advanced model that has crushed its top-rated MLB picks, and find out.

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