Yankees vs. Orioles odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Thursday, May 19 best bets from proven model

The New York Yankees are flying high with the best record in baseball through mid-May. On Thursday, the Yankees will aim to keep that momentum rolling with a road tilt against the Baltimore Orioles. Thursday’s matchup is the final game of a four-game set in Baltimore, with the Yankees winning each of the first three games. New York is 28-9 this season and Baltimore is 14-24.

First pitch is at 12:35 p.m. ET in Baltimore. Caesars Sportsbook lists New York as a -210 favorite (risk $210 to win $100) on the money line, while the over-under, or total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, is eight in the latest Yankees vs. Orioles odds. Before making any Orioles vs. Yankees picks, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it is off to a profitable start to the 2022 season. It’s on a 33-25 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks through six weeks, returning over $300 for $100 players. Anyone following it has seen some huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Yankees vs. Orioles and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are several MLB odds and trends for Orioles vs. Yankees: 

  • Yankees vs. Orioles money line: Yankees -210, Orioles +180
  • Yankees vs. Orioles over-under: 8 runs
  • Yankees vs. Orioles run line: Yankees -1.5 (-125)
  • Yankees vs. Orioles Sox tickets: See tickets at StubHub
  • NYY: The Yankees are 14-5 in road games
  • BAL: The Orioles are 9-10 in home games

Why you should back the Yankees

New York, who will start lefty Jordan Montgomery (0-1, 3.06 ERA), is riding high across the board with the best win-loss record in all of baseball and the best run differential in the American League. The Yankees have a strong pitching staff, including the AL’s best bullpen in myriad categories, and New York also has a significant offensive advantage over Baltimore. The Yankees lead the AL in on-base percentage (.324) and slugging percentage (.424) this season, and New York is in the top tier in many categories. 

The Yankees are No. 2 in runs scored (181), No. 3 in hits (299), No. 3 in home runs (54), No. 3 in walks (136), and No. 3 in batting average (.244), with Aaron Judge off to a torrid start. The three-time AL All-Star blasted 39 home runs in 2021, and he is on pace to shatter that mark in 2022. Judge leads the league with 14 home runs and 90 total bases this season, posting an otherworldly .672 slugging percentage. From there, the Yankees can exploit a below-average Baltimore offense that ranks in the bottom three of the AL in runs scored, strikeouts and slugging percentage.

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Why you should back the Orioles

Baltimore has offensive strengths, including a top-five mark in the American League with 59 doubles in 2022. The Orioles are also above-average in generating stolen bases (21), but Baltimore’s best path to success in run prevention on Thursday. 27-year-old left-hander Bruce Zimmermann is set to start for Baltimore, and he has a 2.72 ERA in seven starts this season. Zimmermann has 32 strikeouts and only nine walks, with left-handed hitters scuffling to a .441 OPS against him.

Zimmermann also has a stellar 1.80 ERA at home, and Baltimore’s bullpen is off to an impressive start. The Orioles are No. 2 in the American League in wins above replacement for relievers, and Baltimore’s bullpen has an outstanding 3.38 ERA. Orioles relievers also have a 50.3 percent ground ball rate, which leads the American League.

How to make Orioles vs. Yankees picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total, projecting 8.9 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model’s MLB picks at SportsLine.

Who will win Yankees vs. Orioles? And which team has all the value on the money line? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.

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