2020 NBA Playoffs: Raptors vs. Nets odds, picks, Game 3 predictions from model on 58-32 roll

The Toronto Raptors put a 2-0 series lead on the line with a matchup against the Brooklyn Nets in the first game on the 2020 NBA Playoffs schedule on Friday. Game 2 was much more competitive, with the Nets leading throughout the game, and Brooklyn will look to avoid a 3-0 deficit by grabbing a much-needed victory. Joe Harris (personal) and Jamal Crawford (hamstring) are out of action for the Nets. Oshae Brissett (knee) and Patrick McCaw (knee) will miss the game for the Raptors.

Tip-off is 1:30 p.m. ET at the HP Field House in the Orlando bubble. William Hill lists Toronto as the 11-point favorite in the Raptors vs. Nets odds. The over-under for points expected is 219, down 1.5 points from the opening line. Before making any Nets vs. Raptors picks, see the NBA predictions from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it’s already returned well over $4,700 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 58-32 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,300 on those picks alone. Amazingly, it hasn’t missed a single top-rated pick (5-0) since the NBA’s restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

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Now, the model has set its sights on Raptors vs. Nets. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Nets vs. Raptors:

  • Raptors vs. Nets spread: Raptors -11
  • Raptors vs. Nets over-under: 219 points
  • Raptors vs. Nets money line: Raptors -600, Nets +450
  • TOR: The Raptors are 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • BRK: The Nets are 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 games

Why the Raptors can cover

The Raptors are simply the more talented team and, on top of that, Toronto is battle-tested with playoff experience. Nick Nurse is one of the best coaches in the NBA, and he deploys an unquestionably elite defense. The Raptors are a top-two defense in the NBA in several metrics, headlined by points allowed per possession, and Toronto’s versatility is a major asset within the confines of a playoff series. 

In this situation, Brooklyn’s offense takes a major hit without the presence of Harris, allowing the Raptors to focus even more on slowing Caris LeVert. Offensively, Toronto has enjoyed success in the first two games of the series, averaging more than 1.18 points per possession, and the Raptors have numerous avenues to explore. The Nets are playing above their talent level under Jacque Vaughn, but Toronto has taken care of business to this point and that could continue. 

Why the Nets can cover 

Brooklyn is at a significant roster disadvantage, particularly with Harris out of action. With that said, the Nets have done a good job in counteracting some of their roster weaknesses with strong schemes from head coach Jacque Vaughn. One example is Brooklyn’s sky-high assist rate in the series, with the Nets leading the NBA in that category within the sample of the postseason. 

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The Nets have also been able to generate offensive rebounds, grabbing more than 27 percent of available misses, and that is a potential edge against the Raptors. Moreover, Jarrett Allen was used as a switch defender to great effectiveness in Game 2, and the Raptors’ offense isn’t as explosive as other contenders. Brooklyn has a path to keeping this game competitive if it can keep the game muddy and rely on its above-average defense.

How to make Raptors vs. Nets picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with the Nets missing key pieces and Pascal Siakam projected to fall short of his scoring average. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Nets vs. Raptors? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Raptors vs. Nets spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up over $4,700 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.

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