NBA

Lakers vs. Spurs odds, line, spread: 2020 NBA picks, Dec. 30 predictions from model on 62-36 roll

The Los Angeles Lakers visit the San Antonio Spurs for a Western Conference matchup on Wednesday evening. The Lakers are 2-2 on the season, though the team suffered a home loss to the Portland Trail Blazers in their last outing. The Spurs are 2-1 with a 1-0 record in their home building so far this season. On the injury front, LeBron James (ankle) is listed as questionable for the Lakers, and Alex Caruso (protocols) is out. Derrick White (toe) and Quinndary Weatherspoon (knee) will not play for San Antonio.

Tip-off is at 8:30 p.m. ET in San Antonio. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Lakers as five-point road favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 229.5 in the latest Lakers vs. Spurs odds. Before you make any Spurs vs. Lakers picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two seasons. Dating back to last season, it is on a stunning 62-36 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,200 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Spurs. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Spurs vs. Lakers:

  • Lakers vs. Spurs spread: Lakers -5
  • Lakers vs. Spurs over-under: 229.5 points
  • Lakers vs. Spurs money line: Lakers -200, Spurs +175
  • LAL: The Lakers are 2-2 against the spread this season
  • SAS: The Spurs have covered the spread in all three games in 2020-21

Latest Odds:

San Antonio Spurs
+5

Why the Lakers can cover

The injury status of James is noteworthy, but the Lakers have the talent to take care of business even if he can’t play. Anthony Davis is one of the best players in the world on both ends of the floor, and the Lakers are receiving substantial contributions from newcomers Dennis Schroder and Montrezl Harrell. In 2019-20, the Lakers were an uber-elite defensive team on the way to the championship, giving up fewer than 1.07 points per possession and forcing a turnover on 15.8 percent of possessions. 

So far this season, Los Angeles has been better on offense, scoring 119.5 points per 100 possessions and posting a 60.2 percent effective field goal shooting mark to lead the NBA. Against a Spurs that is a bottom-10 group on the offensive glass and generating free throws, the Lakers should generate stops and fuel their potent offense. 

Why the Spurs can cover 

San Antonio is playing well in the early going, with top-12 units in both offensive and defensive efficiency. The Spurs have been elite on the defensive glass, snatching 79.3 percent of available rebounds after their opponents miss, and the Spurs are also holding the opposition to 50.9 percent effective field goal shooting. Gregg Popovich’s team is also defending without fouling, maintaining a top-five mark in free throw rate allowed, and that is key in creating overall defensive effectiveness. 

On the offensive side, the Spurs are a top-10 team in taking care of the ball, committing a turnover on only 13.5 percent of possessions. The Lakers are losing the turnover battle on both ends this season, turning the ball over on 16.6 percent of possessions and creating a turnover on only 13.0 percent of possessions, and that could play into San Antonio’s hands in this matchup. 

How to make Lakers vs. Spurs picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning under on the total, with Schroder and Dejounte Murray projected to fall short of their season-long scoring averages. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Spurs vs. Lakers? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Lakers vs. Spurs spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks.


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