Thunder vs. Heat odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Jan. 4 predictions from proven model

The Miami Heat will take on the Oklahoma City Thunder at 7:30 p.m. ET Monday at AmericanAirlines Arena. Miami is 2-3 overall and 2-1 at home, while Oklahoma City is 2-3 overall and 2-0 on the road. The teams split their two meetings last season. 

Miami is favored by 8.5 points in the latest Heat vs. Thunder odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 213.5. Before entering any Thunder vs. Heat picks, you’ll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks last season. The model is up nearly $8,100 over the past two seasons. Dating back to last season, it is on a stunning 62-36 roll on top-rated picks against the spread, returning almost $2,200 on those selections alone. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Heat vs. Thunder. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Heat:

• Heat vs. Thunder spread: Heat -8
• Heat vs. Thunder over-under: 212 points
• Heat vs. Thunder money line: OKC -310; Miami +380

What you need to know about the Heat

The Heat lost to the Dallas Mavericks this past Friday, 93-83. Miami was down 73-53 at the end of the third quarter. Bam Adebayo scored 19 points and Avery Bradley had 15 for Miami. Jimmy Butler scored two points, missing all six of his shots from the field in 27 minutes as he played for the first time since Christmas because of a sprained right ankle. The Heat missed 26 of 33 3-point attempts. 

Miami is third worst in the league in points per game, with only 103.4 on average. The Heat have used a different starting lineup in every game this season. Four different players have led the team in scoring in five games. Adebayo leads the team in scoring at 19 points per game. He has three double-doubles this season. Butler has played in three games so far this season, and leads the team with 10 steals. 

What you need to know about the Thunder

OKC beat the Orlando Magic 108-99 this past Saturday. Darius Bazley posted a double-double on 19 points and 12 rebounds. It was his second double-double of the season so far. The Thunder led by as many as 11 points in the final quarter after snapping an 84-84 tie on a Theo Maledon 3-pointer. George Hill had 18 points and five assists. 

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging a team-best 18.8 points, 6.8 assists and 5.2 rebounds in 33.5 minutes per game. The Thunder have won seven of the past nine meetings with the Heat. OKC is coming into this matchup with the second fewest points per game in the league, with only 102.6 on average. With an average age of 24 years and 112 days, OKC has the sixth-youngest roster in the league. 

How to make Heat vs. Thunder picks

The model has simulated Heat vs. Thunder 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning under on the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Heat vs. Thunder? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Heat vs. Thunder spread to jump on Monday, all from the model that is on an incredible 62-36 roll.